PS
PROGRESS SOFTWARE CORP /MA (PRGS)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 FY25 delivered at the high end on revenue and a meaningful non-GAAP EPS beat: revenue $238.02M (+29% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS $1.31 (+5% YoY); both exceeded S&P Global consensus ($235.64M and $1.06, respectively), with operating leverage from faster-than-planned ShareFile integration and tight expense control . Q1 revenue consensus and EPS consensus from S&P Global: $235.64M*, $1.06*.
- Management raised full-year FY25 EPS guidance to $5.25–$5.37 (from $5.00–$5.12) while keeping revenue at $958–$970M and nudged cash flow ranges higher; Q2 guidance implies revenue $235–$241M and non-GAAP EPS $1.28–$1.34 .
- ARR reached $836M (+48% YoY, cc), NRR >100%, with maintenance/SaaS/services up 49% YoY and software licenses down 9% YoY, reflecting the portfolio’s recurring mix post-ShareFile .
- Key stock reaction catalysts: the EPS beat and FY25 EPS raise, ShareFile synergy momentum (margin/cost), continued deleveraging ($30M revolver repaid; $30M buybacks), and an M&A-ready posture (universal shelf; SaaS playbook) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
-
What Went Well
- Integration tracking ahead/on plan; significant contributions to ARR/revenue and expense savings. “We are ahead, or on plan, with all our ShareFile integration milestones…” — CEO .
- Broad-based demand and cost discipline drove 39% non-GAAP operating margin and an EPS beat ($1.31 vs prior guidance high-end $1.08), with Q1 revenue at top of guide .
- Deleveraging and capital returns: $30M revolver repayment (ahead of plan) and $30M buybacks in Q1; plan to repay $160M in FY25 .
-
What Went Wrong
- GAAP profitability pressured by higher interest/other expense (Other expense, net: $(19.1)M vs $(7.4)M YoY; GAAP EPS $0.24, -53% YoY) .
- Software licenses revenue declined 9% YoY to $58.45M amid mix shift toward recurring; non-GAAP op margin -300 bps YoY to 39% (still above Q4) .
- Quarterly lumpiness persists due to timing of multiyear subscription renewals; management emphasized ARR as better top-line barometer .
Financial Results
Headline results vs prior-year, prior-quarter, and estimates
Revenue mix (YoY)
Key KPIs and cash metrics
Estimates marked with * are S&P Global consensus; Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are ahead, or on plan, with all our ShareFile integration milestones, which are providing significant contributions to ARR and revenues, as well as expense savings.” — CEO .
- “Our operating margins of 39% this quarter are indicative of our company-wide focus on expense management and execution as a faster ShareFile integration.” — CEO .
- “Some of this efficiency that we’ve gained from the [ShareFile] integration benefits our cost base post integration… Operating margin of 39% exceeded our expectations.” — CFO .
- “We paid down $30 million against our revolving line of credit… and repurchased $30 million of Progress stock… now expect to pay down a total of $160 million… during 2025.” — CFO .
- “We expect low single-digit ARR growth in 2025.” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- SMB health in ShareFile: management characterized ShareFile as mission-critical workflow software with healthy SMB demand and no notable deterioration observed .
- SaaS M&A gross margin: ShareFile runs at low-80s% GM; future SaaS targets would be managed to similar levels, limiting group GM dilution .
- M&A mix bias: not exclusively SaaS, but opportunity set skewing SaaS; preference for ratable, predictable models when assets are otherwise comparable .
- Guidance prudence: despite Q1 upside, revenue guide held as it’s early; FX can swing; signals confidence without over-committing .
- ARR seasonality: slight Q4→Q1 ARR dip is seasonal from maintenance renewal timing; typically rebounds in Q2 .
- AI monetization: traction is anecdotal today; not yet a material revenue uplift embedded in outlook .
Estimates Context
- Beat vs consensus: Q1 revenue $238.02M vs $235.64M*; non-GAAP EPS $1.31 vs $1.06* . Q2 guide aligns with consensus ranges: revenue $235–$241M vs $237.23M*; EPS $1.28–$1.34 vs $1.30* .
Estimates marked with * are S&P Global consensus; Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Where estimates may adjust:
- Street likely moves FY25 EPS higher on integration-driven cost efficiencies (non-GAAP OM raised to 38%) and lower GAAP tax rate (19% vs 21% prior), with revenue unchanged as renewal timing still governs quarterly variability .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Non-GAAP EPS beat and FY25 EPS raise were driven by faster-than-expected ShareFile synergy capture and disciplined costs; revenue held at the top of Q1 guide and FY revenue stays unchanged as management remains conservative on renewal timing .
- Mix shifting toward recurring: maintenance/SaaS/services +49% YoY, software licenses -9% YoY; ARR +48% YoY underscores durability post-ShareFile; NRR >100% .
- Deleveraging on track ($160M planned FY25) while preserving M&A flexibility (universal shelf); expect active pipeline with bias to SaaS assets run at low-80s% GM .
- Watch interest expense/other expense as a GAAP EPS headwind (Other expense up 158% YoY); non-GAAP framing remains relevant for operational performance .
- Operational execution signals: DSO improved to 48 days; cash generation strong (Adj FCF $73.21M; Unlevered FCF $87.95M) supporting debt paydown and opportunistic buybacks .
- AI remains strategic with concrete org steps (Chief AI Officer) and product launches (Data Cloud), but not yet a material revenue driver embedded in FY25 outlook .
- Near-term trading lens: favorability from EPS beat/raise and synergy momentum; medium-term thesis anchored on recurring mix/ARR durability, margin discipline, and disciplined, SaaS-capable M&A flywheel .
Estimates marked with * are S&P Global consensus; Values retrieved from S&P Global.